英國《時報》(The Times,註),
頗受好評的「將軍與記者」(The General and the Journalist)專欄,
新年特別企劃:
「2027 全球同步多重危機(polycrisis)」,
與我在 1990 年代所預測之「 21 世紀全球大轉型」最高潮,
若合符節。
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The World's Next Crisis May Begin in 2027, Are We Ready?
2026-01-01
Times News
00:00——2027 "Polycrisis" Explained: A Perfect Storm Scenario
03:51——Flashpoints: Taiwan, Eastern Europe, AI, and Domestic Unrest
06:42——The Economic Shock: Chips, Supply Chains, and Jobs at Risk
07:57——Why 2027? The "Window of Opportunity" and Rearmament Lag
15:44——Who's the Bigger Threat: Russia vs China? + Deterrence vs Resilience
32:42——What to Read in 2026: Must-reads on War, Strategy, and Escape
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In this New Year edition of The General and the Journalist, Tom and Patrick explore the idea of a looming 'polycrisis', a convergence of geopolitical, economic and technological shocks that could peak around 2027. Joined by intelligence expert and China specialist Sam Olsen, they unpack what a simultaneous crisis involving China, Russia, and potentially North Korea and Iran could mean for the West. The conversation moves from worst-case scenarios to practical mitigations, asking whether governments, businesses and citizens truly grasp the scale of the challenge ahead.

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