http://www.jeromecohen.net/jerrys-blog/2018/3/8/xi-jinping-amends-chinas-constitution
Jerome A. Cohen 孔傑榮(柯恩)
美國的中國法專家,纽约大學法學院教授,呂秀蓮,馬英九在哈佛的博士指導教授
There is especially high risk of an important mistake in international affairs. Xi, for example, may overplay his current efforts to increase pressures on Taiwan to rejoin the Motherland before the 100th anniversary of the Communist Party’s 1921 founding. A shootout with the U.S. in the South China Sea could also have embarrassing reverberations, as could chaos or war on the Korean Peninsula. We should not assume that the new possibility that Xi can continue to lead the government after 2023 means that he is necessarily destined to do so. As Matthew Arnold wrote long ago, “Only the event will teach us in its hour.”
在國際事務上習近平很可能犯大錯,如對臺灣加壓力要臺灣在2021(中共百年)前"回歸".在南海跟美國開火衝突或朝鮮半島爆發戰爭皆有可能.我們不能確定習近平,雖無任期限制,在2023年會繼續連任.事情可能當發生時才知道是怎麼回事
Jerome A. Cohen 孔傑榮(柯恩)
美國的中國法專家,纽约大學法學院教授,呂秀蓮,馬英九在哈佛的博士指導教授
There is especially high risk of an important mistake in international affairs. Xi, for example, may overplay his current efforts to increase pressures on Taiwan to rejoin the Motherland before the 100th anniversary of the Communist Party’s 1921 founding. A shootout with the U.S. in the South China Sea could also have embarrassing reverberations, as could chaos or war on the Korean Peninsula. We should not assume that the new possibility that Xi can continue to lead the government after 2023 means that he is necessarily destined to do so. As Matthew Arnold wrote long ago, “Only the event will teach us in its hour.”
在國際事務上習近平很可能犯大錯,如對臺灣加壓力要臺灣在2021(中共百年)前"回歸".在南海跟美國開火衝突或朝鮮半島爆發戰爭皆有可能.我們不能確定習近平,雖無任期限制,在2023年會繼續連任.事情可能當發生時才知道是怎麼回事
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南朝金粉太平春,萬里山河處處青 世宇三分,有聖人出 《步虛大師預言詩》
拯患救難,是唯聖人 陽復而治 晦極生明 《馬前課》
中國而今有聖人,雖非豪傑也周成。 四夷重譯稱天子,否極泰來九國春《推背圖》第四十四象
南朝金粉太平春,萬里山河處處青 世宇三分,有聖人出 《步虛大師預言詩》
拯患救難,是唯聖人 陽復而治 晦極生明 《馬前課》
中國而今有聖人,雖非豪傑也周成。 四夷重譯稱天子,否極泰來九國春《推背圖》第四十四象
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