MMA的評論開始的一周DEEMBER 1 , 2008年
Raymond A. Merriman ©雷蒙德字母a.梅里©
Please note that until the Forecast for 2009 book is completed, there will be no “Longer-Term Thoughts” section in this column.請注意,直到2009年預測書完成後,將不會有“長期思考”一節中此列。 We expect to resume this feature of the weekly column in the first week of December.我們希望恢復此功能的每週專欄在12月的第一週。 Therefore this column will be presented in abbreviated format until then.因此,本專欄將在略格式到那時。
Review and Preview回顧與展望
At last - a week with very little volatility.最後-一個星期幾乎沒有波動。 And during the week that ended with Uranus turning stationary direct, which is usually a very volatile signature.並在本週結束,天王星直接轉向平穩,這通常是一個非常動盪的簽名。 Of course it was a holiday week in the United States, which celebrated Thanksgiving on Thursday.當然這是一個星期假日,美國慶祝感恩節週四。 The financial markets were closed them and they also closed early on Friday.金融市場被關閉他們,他們還關閉週五早上。 But this lack of volatility may be short-lived, for we have another one of those “translation” signatures to the Saturn-Uranus opposition coming up December 10-15.但是,這種缺乏波動可能是短暫的,因為我們有另外一個人“翻譯”的簽名,土星,天王星即將反對派12月一十零日日至15日。
In the meantime, almost all equity markets were nicely higher all last week.與此同時,幾乎所有的股票市場是很好較高上週所有。 This followed the multi-year lows, or re-test of the October multi-year lows, that took place exactly one week ago when Jupiter formed its last of five waxing trine aspects to Saturn on November 21.在此之前的多年低點,或重新測試10月多年低點,發生整整一周前在木星上形成了五個方面的打蠟苦參鹼土星11月21日。 Previously we had referred to the abundance of Jupiter and Sagittarian signatures in effect November 13 through at least the first week of December.以前我們提到了豐富的木星和Sagittarian簽字生效11月13日,至少12月的第一週。 We anticipated either very healthy rallies or spectacular panic and hysteria.我們預期要么非常健康,集會或壯觀的恐慌和歇斯底里。 The first week was panic and hysteria.第一週是恐慌和歇斯底里。 But since the tine between Jupiter and Saturn one week ago, it has been all optimism and hope, which are the positive expressions of Jupiter and Sagittarius.但自廷之間的木星和土星一個星期前,它一直都樂觀和希望,這是積極的表現木星和人馬座。
In the Europe, the AEX soared form its multi-year low of 220.12 on November 21 to a high of 251.13 on November 28, a gain of 14.2% in just one week.在歐洲, AEX交易代號飆升形式多年低點220.12 11月21日的高點251.13 11月28日,上漲14.2 % ,僅一個星期。 The German DAX rallied to 4703 on November 28 from its low of 4035 the week before, for a gain of 16.5%.德國DAX指數上漲至4703的11月28日從低點4035一周前,為上升16.5 % 。 We note that the November 21 low was slightly higher than the 4014 low of October 24.我們注意到, 11月21日低略高於4014低點10月24日。 Such a double bottom formation over a one-month period, occurring at the same time other stock markets in the region make lower lows, is a pattern known as intermarket bullish divergence.這種雙層底形成了一個月的時間裡,發生在同一時間其他股票市場在該地區作出較低的低點,是一種模式被稱為跨看漲背離。 You can now assume the stock indices of Europe are now in a new bull trend until the 4000 level in the DAX is broken.現在,您可以承擔股票指數歐洲現在正處於一個新的牛市的趨勢,直到4000水平DAX指數被打破了。 The London FTSE index, like the DAX also did not make a new multi-year low on November 21, falling to 3734, which was above it sow of 3665 on October 27.倫敦富時指數一樣, DAX指數也沒有作出新的多年低點11月21日,下降到3734 ,這是它上面的3665播下10月27日。 By Friday, November 28, it was up to 4288, for a one week gain of nearly 15%.到上週五, 11月28日,有人到4288 ,為一個星期上漲了近15 % 。 The SMI of Zurich, however, did make a new multi-year on November 21 at 5034.在蘇黎世參麥注射液,但沒有提出一個新的多年期11月21日在5034 。 By this past Friday, it was up to 5816, for a one-week gain of 15.5%.由過去的星期五,這是高達5816 ,一個星期上漲了15.5 % 。
The situation was similar in Asia and the Pacific Rim.情況也與此相似,亞洲和環太平洋地區。 From a multi-year low of 3201 on November 21 in the Australian All Ords index, it soared to a high of 3672 on Friday, November 28, an appreciation of nearly 15%.從多年的低點3201 11月21日在澳大利亞的所有Ords指數,它上升到了3672高上週五, 11月28日,升值了近15 % 。 All the other indices in this region did not take out their lows of late October.所有其他指數在這一地區沒有考慮他們的低點10月下旬。 They tested them on November 21, and then like the others, they all rallied smartly into the end of last week.他們測試他們在11月21日,然後像其他一些國家,他們所有上漲智能化到上星期末。 The Japanese Nikkei had a one-week rally from 7406 to 8518, also a gain of 15%.日本日經指數已經一個星期集會從7406到8518也上漲了15 % 。 The Hang Seng rallied nearly 18% in that same week.恆生指數上漲近18 %在這同一個星期。 The rally was not quite so strong in India, where a major terrorist attack on Thursday created a very unstable and dangerous climate.該集會是沒有這麼強在印度,在那裡的一個主要恐怖襲擊事件星期四創造了一個非常不穩定和危險的氣氛。
In the United States, November 21 marked a new multi-year low in both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite.在美國, 11月21日標誌著一個新的多年低點在道瓊斯工業平均指數和納斯達克綜合。 The former rose from 7449 to 8831 in the past four trading days, for a gain of 18.5%.前上升到7449至8831在過去的四年交易日內,漲幅為18.5 % 。 The 4-day gain in the Composite was also 18.5%.在為期4天的增益的綜合也是18.5 % 。 It is not often that you see the amplitude of gains or losses in the world highest in the United States, but that was the case last week.這是不是經常看到您的振幅收益或損失在世界上最高的美國,但這種情況上週。 The Bovespa of Brazil and Merval of Argentina also rallied smartly from their lows of the prior week.在1993的巴西和阿根廷Merval也上漲巧妙從他們的低點前一周。 All in all, it was one of the best weeks for trading in a long time, for the market appreciated about 14-18% everywhere, with no sudden declines along the way.總之,這是一個最好的交易週,在很長一段時間,市場升值約14-18 % ,世界各地,沒有突然下降前進的道路。
Short-Term Geocosmics短期Geocosmics
Although the volatility did recede last week, other principles associated with Uranus were operative, as witnessed by the sudden and shocking attacks by terrorists on innocent civilians in Mumbai, India.雖然沒有消退的波動,上週其他原則與天王星的部分,因為目睹了令人震驚的突然襲擊的恐怖分子對無辜平民在印度孟買。 The principles of explosiveness and sudden, jarring events are all part of the developing conjunction of Sun and Mars in Sagittarius, as both move towards their T-square to Saturn and Uranus.該原則的爆發力和突然,不和諧的事件都是發展中國家一道太陽和火星在人馬座,作為邁向他們的T平方米,以土星和天王星。 It may also be a symbolic foretelling of what to expect as Pluto now re-enters the sign of Capricorn for the next 15 years.這也可能是一個象徵性的預示什麼期望現在冥王星重新進入的跡象摩羯座的下一個15年。
On November 27, Pluto – the planet of power, death, taxes, and transformation - re-entered Capricorn, the sign of the Establishment, tradition, and government. 11月27日,冥王星-地球上的權力,死亡,稅收和改造-重新進入摩羯座,記號的建立,傳統,和政府。 Under this 15-year reign, we can anticipate many governments and many government leaders being the object of hatred and secretive efforts to overthrow it.根據這項15年的統治,我們可以預見,許多國家的政府和許多政府領導人正在對象的仇恨和神秘的努力,以推翻它。 Government’s reactions to combat it will be just as heavy in response, and once again freedoms and liberties will be at risk.政府的反應,打擊將是一樣沉重的響應,並再次自由和自由將處於危險之中。 “Big Brother” will be watching ore and more closely in an effort to find and punish the terrorists. “老大哥”將密切關注鐵礦石和更密切的努力,尋找和懲罰恐怖分子。
On the same day, November 27, Uranus went stationary direct.同一天, 11月27日,天王星直接前往平穩。 And change of positions highlights the principles of that planet.和變化的立場原則,突出了該行星。 Uranus represents shock and sudden events.天王星代表感到震驚和突發事件。 It is one of the planets correlating with terrorism, especially when Pluto and/or Mars are highlighted at the same time.這是行星與恐怖主義相關的,尤其是當冥王星和/或火星突出同一時間舉行。 All three are highlighted now, because on December 5 (next Friday) the Sun and Mars come together in a conjunction aspect, in the volatile sign of Sagittarius.所有這三個現在突出,因為12月5日(下週五)的太陽和火星走到一起的結合方面,在動盪的跡象人馬座。 In a study I conducted several years ago, I demonstrated that the Sun-Mars conjunction was the most consistent of all to 10% or greater moves in the Down Jones Industrial Average than any other planetary pair signature, within an orb of 8 degrees.在一份研究報告本人進行了數年前,我表明,太陽火星的結合是最符合所有的10 %或更大的波動,向下,道瓊斯工業平均比其他任何行星兩人簽字,在一個球的8度。 Once upon a time, 10% was considered a major move.曾幾何時, 10 %被認為是一個重大舉措。 But, as you saw last week, 10% is not so major any more.但是,正如你看到,上週10 %並非如此重要了。 We are getting 10% moves every week now, so in this case, we may be looking at a 20% reversal developing.我們正在移動的10 %現在每星期,所以在這種情況下,我們可以看到20 %的發展中國家逆轉。 That is, within two weeks of the Sun Mars conjunction, look for a 20% move to end and a 20% opposite move to begin.這是兩週內的太陽火星的結合,尋找20 %的舉動,制止和20 %的相反舉動開始。
The real test to the strength of this new bullish-looking market will come around December 10-15.真正的考驗的力量,這一新的利好前瞻性的市場將圍繞12月10日至15號。 That is when both the Sun and Mars will “translate” by square aspect the long-term Saturn-Uranus opposition.這是當兩個太陽和火星將“翻譯”的方方面長期土星,天王星的反對。 As noted before, every time such a translation has occurred in the past year, the stock indices of the world have undergone a very sharp decline.如前所述,每一次這樣的翻譯發生在過去的一年中,股票指數在世界經歷了一個非常急劇下降。 But it is not just in the stock market that we need to be alert for sudden changes and events, for this time this combination is taking place amidst new and bold terrorist activity.但它不僅是股票市場,我們需要警惕的突然變化和事件,這個時候這個組合是由於正在發生新的和大膽的恐怖活動。 To say that this is a dangerous period is an understatement.如果說,這是一個危險的時期是輕描淡寫。 It is a violent potential, and such violence can be activated in stock markets around the worlds too in the form of a sudden collapse.這是一個潛在的暴力,這種暴力行為,並可以激活股市,世界各地也形式的突然崩潰。 Can prices fall back below the lows of the last two months?可以價格回落的低點以下的最後兩個月? If so, it can quickly turn into panic and hysteria to a degree that exceeds even that leading into November 21.如果是的話,它可以很快演變成恐慌和歇斯底里的程度甚至超過領先到11月21日。 If those lows can hold, however, we may be embarking upon a multi-month rally for after all, the world wants to have hope and it wants to believe things will improve.如果這些低點可容納然而,我們可能會開始一個多月反彈後,世界希望有希望,它希望相信事情會得到改善。 It wants to believe in the charisma and message of Barack Obama, to be specific.它希望相信的魅力和信息奧巴馬,具體。 Jupiter is coming up to conjunct Uranus in Pisces, and both from a positive mutual reception with Uranus in Pisces, for the middle of 2009.木星是走到conjunct天王星在雙魚座,都從一個積極的相互接待與天王星在雙魚座,為2009年中期。
There is danger in the world as we head into the holiday season.有危險,我們的世界進入假期。 But there is also hope and the belief of the masses that something magical is happening or can happen.但也希望和相信群眾神奇的東西正在發生或可能發生。 Astrologically, the heavy Saturn aspects are usually considered stronger than the Jupiter-Neptune ones. Astrologically ,沉重的土星方面通常被認為是強於木星,海王星的。 But Jupiter and Neptune is spiritual force.但木星和海王星是精神的力量。 It will be interesting to see which wins out in the market place: the heaviness and danger of the Saturn-Uranus related aspects or the power of spiritual belief and positive thinking signified by Jupiter and Neptune.這將是很有意思,看哪個贏得了市場:在沉重和危險的土星,天王星或相關方面的力量,精神信仰和積極的思想標誌著由木星和海王星。 Is Barack Obama really THE one, or is he just THAT one?奧巴馬是真的,或者是他只是一個? Is this Camelot or Armageddon?這是卡米洛特或世界末日? We should know the answer sometime by the end of 2009.我們應該知道答案的某個時候到2009年底。 We are living in a time of heroes and mad men.我們正生活在一個繁榮的時代英雄和瘋狂的男子。 For now, we can all try to enjoy the magic, but also try to avoid the danger.現在,我們都可以嘗試享受神奇,但也盡量避免危險。 The markets will reflect which forces are winning.該市場將反映該部隊正在取得勝利。
編輯者: carlieu (2008-12-01 02:45:52)